Thu 8:15 PM
ATL
Michael Penix Jr. · new starter
20.8
GB
Jordan Love
25.7
SPREADbook ATL +6.5model ATL +4.8ATL +1.7
TOTALbook O/U 44.5model 46.5Over +2.0
Projected scores for all 16 games, the model's spread and total next to the book's, starting quarterbacks and injury flags — updated every morning.
★ UNLOCK WITH LINESCOPE PROProjected scores come from play-by-play efficiency, adjusted for opponent, for the listed starting quarterback, and shrunk toward each team's established level. The gap is how far the model sits from the book.
Tested on 1,171 games since 2022, this model does not beat closing lines. Treat a large gap as a question worth asking, not a signal to follow — the market usually knows something the model can't see, starting with injuries. Projections, not advice.